đď¸ Incentives: Why Congress Is Always Saved â No Matter the Deficit
6 min read
In a June 11, 2025 interview with Bloomberg, Paul Tudor Jones proposed a blend of 6% across-the-board spending cuts, strategic Fed appointment swaps, and interest rate reductions as a pathway to closing the federal deficit â currently hovering around 6% of GDP. On the surface, these feel like decisive external levers â fiscal tightening, monetary easing, debt relief â but they sidestep the deeper problem: an internal system misaligned by temporary political convenience and vested corporate interests.
Todayâs budgetary debates rarely touch the structural dysfunction at the heart of Washington:
đď¸ Legislative gridlock ensures spending priorities are dictated by whoever yells the loudest, not by long-term value.
đ¸ Corporate lobbying and âearmarkâ politics embed continuous inflows to well-connected sectors, regardless of efficacy or national priority.
đ Cyclical stop-gap measuresâlike temporary tax cuts or euphemistic âbudget extensionsââbounce us from crisis to crisis without resolving core issues.
đ ď¸ Structural Repair Over Quick Fixes
If we commit solely to âexternalâ solutionsâsteep spending cuts, dovish rate shifts, tax pivotsâthen weâre just papering over cracks. True fiscal durability demands internal reform:
Sunset clauses for tax deductions and agency authorizations.
Independent budget oversight with real enforcement teeth.
Anti-lobbying "cool down" periods to reduce special interest influence.
Balanced budget amendments tying spending limits to clear outcomesânot political deadlines.
But here's the Deficit Fix No One Wants to Talk About: pay elected officials more
â and tie it directly to performance.
Large-cap corporations often spend 20â25% of revenue on salaries and admin, including high compensation tied to performance. For example, $Axon Enterprises, Inc. paid its CEO $165 million in 2024, a figure that might raise eyebrowsâuntil you realize this weaponâs manufacture company generated $2.1 billion in revenue. Thatâs under 8% of top-line revenue â a premium for leadership tied to measurable execution.
Why shouldnât government follow suit? Back in 2011 Warren Buffett once quipped that no Congressman should be re-elected if the deficit exceeds 3% â and just 14 years later Elon Musk just echoed that same view on X.
Hereâs the real argument: better pay may lower the cost of corruption. If we want elected officials to resist bribery, backroom deals, or being financially leveraged by lobbyists, then we need to treat those roles with the same seriousness as we do CEOs. That means competitive compensation, but with strict qualifications and real consequences.
If youâre going to try to sit in Congress, let it be the result of a rigorous vetting process, not a popularity contest bankrolled by special interests. Tie their compensation with results for the state they represent â not how many votes they can wrangle from corporate PACs. And if they fail? Fire them. Revoke the seat. Enforce insider trading bans with teeth. And if corruption is proven? Lifetime bans from the stock market. This isnât politics â itâs business logic.
The goal isnât to make politicians rich. Itâs to reduce their price tagâso that the public, not private interests, becomes their highest bidder.
Itâs unreal how quickly weâre distracted by misdirection: headlines about raising taxes on the rich or the poor, or slashing programs with zero analysis of the ripple effects. This isn't leadership â itâs crisis theater. If a business ran this way, you'd fire the CEO. It doesnât take more money to fix waste and mismanagement. It takes clearing the board.
The government is great at taking the reservation, but clearly doesnât know how to hold the reservation. #IYKYK
Yes, officials can be expelled: Article I, Section 5 of the U.S. Constitution allows each House to oust members with a two-thirds vote. Itâs rare â but it exists. If we want to take the deficit seriously, maybe itâs time we started using the tools already in place.
đ§ Yes, some of this might sound idealistic. Asking for performance pay in Congress? Sunset clauses? Voter-enforced accountability? In the world of D.C. dealmaking, these ideas might be laughed out of the room. Even Gordon Gekko would probably roll his eyes and tell me, âIdealism kills every deal.â
But hereâs the thing: weâve tried cynicism. Weâve tried short-termism. Weâve tried pretending dysfunction is just the cost of doing business. And now weâre staring down trillion-dollar deficits and generational gridlock.
If the smart money says change isnât realistic, maybe itâs time we stop listening only to the smart money.
đŹ Final Thought
AI is here. And we should be aware: as it grows in intelligence and reach, we must collectively demand that it doesnât exempt those in power from scrutiny.
In the Hulu series âClass of â09â the first thing the government does when agreeing to introduce AI oversight is exempt itself from investigation. Itâs fictional â but eerily familiar. Because if public servants can write themselves out of the rules, what hope is there for real reform?
We donât need more budget tricks â we need structural accountability.
Because if AI ever truly begins rooting out corruption, the first thing it may flag is the people who made sure they couldnât be flagged at all.
đ¨ Call to Action
There are people who hold power today who are completely out to lunch, recycling the same tired ideas that got us here in the first place. BMG isnât one of them.
If you're serious about building your financial future â retirement planning, portfolio alignment, or just understanding how todayâs policy ties into your tomorrow â reach out.
We're here for clients who want to make better long-term decisions, not just ride out the headlines.
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This content is intended for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial, investment, or legal advice. References to specific companies or sectors are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Investing involves risk, including the risk of loss. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a qualified advisor before making any investment decisions.
Disclosure: BMG may currently hold a position in Axon Enterprises ($AXON).